โ† ogamdo๐Ÿ›ก Risk Radar

๐’ช โ€” Solana Memecoin Risk Report

9ZdLqWeyvgrHWVXW3wQGXg62RSxAp9RxbnWtC3gfpump๐ŸŸข Monitoring๐Ÿš€ Momentum๐ŸŽฒ Micro-cap

๐Ÿš€ Momentum ยท Prior-1h +250%+ at capture (strong early surge); the axis that separates 2x reachers. ํฌ์ฐฉ ์ง์ „ 1h +250%โ†‘์ธ ๊ฐ•ํ•œ ์ดˆ๊ธฐ ์ƒ์Šน. ์ดํ›„ 2๋ฐฐ ๋„๋‹ฌ์„ ๊ฐ€๋ฅด๋Š” ์ถ•.

๐ŸŽฒ Micro-cap ยท Capture MC <$230K, not concentrated. Widest outcomes (lowest median yet frequent moonshots and high death rate). Concentrated ones split into Reserve/Toppy. ํฌ์ฐฉ ์‹œ์ด <$230K์ธ ์ดˆ์ €์‹œ์ด(์ง‘์ค‘ํ˜• ์•„๋‹˜). ๊ฒฐ๊ณผ๊ฐ€ ๊ทน๋‹จ์œผ๋กœ ๋ฒŒ์–ด์ง‘๋‹ˆ๋‹ค(์ค‘์•™๊ฐ’ ์ตœ์ €์ง€๋งŒ ๋ฌธ์ƒท 10xโ†‘๋„ ์žฆ๊ณ  ์‚ฌ๋ง๋ฅ ๋„ ๋†’์Œ). ์ง‘์ค‘ํ˜•์€ ๐Ÿ”‹์ง‘์ค‘ ๋ฏธ์ ํ™”/โš ๏ธ์ƒํˆฌ๊ฒฝ๊ณ ๋กœ ๋ถ„๋ฆฌ.

Capture MC
$194K
Current MC
$156K
-20% vs capture
ATH
$270K
+39% vs capture ยท โฑ31m
Liquidity
$34K
Calls
19
7 rooms
1h change at capture
307%

Structure & rug-risk

Top-10 holders
โ€”
Dev holding
0.0%
Bundle
โ€”
LP locked
100%
Mint renounced
Yes
Rug score
1
Holders
โ€”

High top-10 concentration, high dev/bundle holdings, unlocked LP, or a non-renounced mint are common rug-pull warning signs. ์ƒ์œ„ 10 ํ™€๋” ์ง‘์ค‘๋„๊ฐ€ ๋†’๊ฑฐ๋‚˜ ๊ฐœ๋ฐœ์žยท๋ฒˆ๋“ค ๋ณด์œ ๊ฐ€ ํฌ๊ณ  LP๊ฐ€ ์ž ๊ธฐ์ง€ ์•Š์•˜๊ฑฐ๋‚˜ mint๊ฐ€ ์†Œ๊ฐ๋˜์ง€ ์•Š์•˜์œผ๋ฉด ๋Ÿฌ๊ทธํ’€ ๊ฒฝ๊ณ  ์‹ ํ˜ธ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

Buy/Sell flow

Buys 1h
2440
Sells 1h
2006
B/S 1h
1.22ร—
Buys 24h
โ€”
Sells 24h
โ€”
B/S 24h
โ€”

Buy/Sell ratio above 1 = more buys than sells (buy-dominant); below 1 = sell-dominant. Latest forward tick. ๋งค์ˆ˜/๋งค๋„ ๋น„์œจ์ด 1๋ณด๋‹ค ํฌ๋ฉด ๋งค์ˆ˜ ์šฐ์œ„, ์ž‘์œผ๋ฉด ๋งค๋„ ์šฐ์œ„์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค(์ตœ์‹  forward ํ‹ฑ ๊ธฐ์ค€).

Risk-signal timeline

๐ŸŸ  Attention Death (30m no independent call since capture) ยท 09/27, 11:35 (UTC+9, KST) ยท MC $231K
๐ŸŸ  Momentum Failed (peak +1% < +20% in 10m of capture) ยท 09/27, 11:16 (UTC+9, KST) ยท MC $180K
โœ… Attention Confirmed (passed vetting) ยท 09/27, 11:05 (UTC+9, KST) ยท MC $194K

How this diagnosis works

ogamdo tracks ๐’ชfrom the moment it drew independent attention across Solana call channels. After a 10-minute vetting window with no risk signals, the coin is captured, and its price, liquidity, holder structure and buy/sell flow are monitored forward. โ€œCapture MCโ€ is the market cap when we flagged it; ATH is the highest it reached afterward. Risk signals (price drawdown, liquidity collapse, holder dumps, money-flow reversal) fire on live forward data; they are not predictions.

ogamdo๋Š” ๐’ช์ด(๊ฐ€) ์†”๋ผ๋‚˜ ์ฝœ ์ฑ„๋„์—์„œ ๋…๋ฆฝ์ ์ธ ๊ด€์‹ฌ์„ ๋ฐ›์€ ์‹œ์ ๋ถ€ํ„ฐ ์ถ”์ ํ•ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. 10๋ถ„ ๊ฒ€์ฆ์ฐฝ ๋™์•ˆ ์œ„ํ—˜ ์‹ ํ˜ธ๊ฐ€ ์—†์œผ๋ฉด โ€˜ํฌ์ฐฉโ€™ํ•˜๊ณ  ์ดํ›„ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉยท์œ ๋™์„ฑยทํ™€๋” ๊ตฌ์กฐยท๋งค์ˆ˜๋งค๋„ ํ๋ฆ„์„ forward๋กœ ๊ฐ์‹œํ•ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. โ€˜ํฌ์ฐฉ ์‹œ์ดโ€™์€ ํฌ์ฐฉ ๋‹น์‹œ ์‹œ๊ฐ€์ด์•ก, ATH๋Š” ์ดํ›„ ์ตœ๊ณ  ์‹œ์ด์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ์œ„ํ—˜ ์‹ ํ˜ธ(๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ๊ธ‰๋ฝยท์œ ๋™์„ฑ ๋ถ•๊ดดยทํ™€๋” ํˆฌํ•˜ยท์ž๊ธˆ ํ๋ฆ„ ๋ฐ˜์ „)๋Š” ์‹ค์‹œ๊ฐ„ forward ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ๋กœ ๋ฐœ๋™ํ•˜๋ฉฐ ์˜ˆ์ธก์ด ์•„๋‹™๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

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โš ๏ธ For informational and educational purposes only (not financial or investment advice). Memecoins are extremely high-risk. ์ •๋ณดยท๊ต์œก ๋ชฉ์ ์ด๋ฉฐ ํˆฌ์ž ์กฐ์–ธ์ด ์•„๋‹™๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋ฐˆ์ฝ”์ธ์€ ์ดˆ๊ณ ์œ„ํ—˜์œผ๋กœ ์›๊ธˆ ์ „์•ก ์†์‹ค์ด ๊ฐ€๋Šฅํ•ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.